Dr I Can't Remember has been defanged. All of her "witnesses" have said they weren't there, had no notion of anything happening, the girl friend even said she'd never met Brother Bret. The big runaround by the Lefties was something they were allowed to do while the Feds interviewed everybody else.
Now Grassley has given her an out, which I'm pretty sure she'll take.
The longer this plays out, the worse for the Democrats. That assumes Kavanaugh really is Mr. Clean. But if he is dirty, you don't that (actual, real as opposed to fake) dirt coming out after a confirmation vote and before the election. That would work to the great advantage of Democratic turnout. But this, right now, can only further inflame Republican voters, the very ones whose turnout was in doubt. And if Kavanaugh is sunk in a discreditable way, GOP turnout will be maximized.
Plus, the Democrats in Congress cant control their less responsible allies. No doubt many of them are cringing at Senator Spartacus, Senator "Men should shut up," and the parade of hysterical hearing disrupters. The circus will get worse as this goes on.
So why are the Dems playing it this way? They don't have much choice. They will be punished if they don't throw everything possible at Kavanaugh. Politically, they willcome out best if they go all out and yet he squeaks by. Keeping the seat open probably doesnt gin up their folks more than they already are, but it can only help Republicans. The Dems knowvit, but can't modulate this as finely as they like.
Heck, even if Kavanaugh turns out to be a terrible person, and is derailed, the GOP would still benefit, because the seat remains open as everyone goes to vote.
By the way, when I said the Dems come out best if they fight, fight, fight, fight but barely lose, I meant in the 2018 election. I am not talking about court-determined policy. Yes, they lose there, but they know that postponing this confirmation vote till after the electionis high risk. There is a very strong likelihood the GOP gains in the Senate under almost all scenarios, and that means Trump coukd come back with Amy Barrett or Bill Pryor, who called Roe an abomination. Obviously they have a lot to lose if Kavanaugh proves to be a fifth vote to overturn Roe, but he could be their best case scenario. Plus, how he actually votes on Roe is far from certain.
As for settled law, so was slavery and segregation.
But, yes, the Demos are killing themselves, much as happened in '68 (hate to be a broken record on that, but this is what they mean by history repeats).
I wish I could agree with Father Fox but the kind of people whose votes are changed by a firestorm just before an election tend to be more impressed by passion than by reason. And as usual the Democrats are full of passionate intensity while Republicans are their usual lukewarm selves.
FF: The Dems lose all the time but you just don't hear about it and when you do it's all about "passion" rather than "lashin'". So their "passion" becomes expected, from them, and Reps loser lashings become the expected meme for them. Framing. Have you heard anything on the news to date about how maybe the Dems are overstepping with this Kavanagh smear campaign. That it will cost them in turnout? Or how the Dems are ruthlessly exploiting these frail ladies? Or how this whole Handmaid's Tale adventure in hyper-partisan politics will redound negatively for people, men and women, who have legitimate claims? No. It's all about framing.
I think the Democratic voters are highly motivated unless they perceive their politicians to betray them. So far, the Dems in Congress are credibly fighting, and in the case of Kavanaugh, there is not much more they can ask their Senators to do. Maybe if Kavanaugh is both vindicated and confirmed, that makes a marginal negative impact on Dem turnout, emphasis on maybe. I doubt it.
On the other hand, the Republican turnout has been weaker, for good reasons. Some are mad at the GOP Congress, and with Trump in White House a lot of voters the GOP needs aren't afraid the way they were in 2016. Fear (2016) is a better motivater than fury, but fury will do. And the Supreme Court seat staying open creates at least some fear.
Not so sure that workaday Dems are as down with this fight as the media and other Dem political hacks would like to believe. I live and work in a dark blue area of a blue state (Cali) in a blue job (law). No one is talking about this with any enthusiasm.
It's nice to see Father Fox here. Thanks for commenting.
I will refrain from asking you about your feelings about he recent controversy with the Pope ignoring and covering up the scandals in the Church. It is hard working men of God such as yourself who suffer when the hierarchy goes off the rails.
I read your sermons every week. They are both enlightening and humbling.
25 comments:
I'm starting to think that Dems are holding something huge over the heads of key Republican Senators. Something very dirty.
Pelosi?
I’m just referring to the proxy, Dr. Ford.
I was thinking of the dirtiest thing in Congress. No one wants a Pelosi held over them.
Plus is Pelosi huge? She’s got a huge rack, but that’s about it.
Nonsense.
Dr I Can't Remember has been defanged. All of her "witnesses" have said they weren't there, had no notion of anything happening, the girl friend even said she'd never met Brother Bret. The big runaround by the Lefties was something they were allowed to do while the Feds interviewed everybody else.
Now Grassley has given her an out, which I'm pretty sure she'll take.
Put another way, Charlie Brown just kicked Lucy.
The way it's going now, the Senate will have to take a vote between accusers. There may be no end to desperate accusers.
Tackling the quarterback is now a go-fund me affair.
Sixty: It just hit me like a ton of bricks that D'Alesandro is from Balmer, and so were you sort of. Hence your first response.
The sins of the father were visited upon the nasty POS daughter, if I may quote scripture.
This newest sexual assault claim is so ridiculous, that the Dems might be losing some of their support that they had earlier. Vote already.
You got it.
This thing is just making the Demos look like the idiots they really are.
Which is never a bad thing.
The longer this plays out, the worse for the Democrats. That assumes Kavanaugh really is Mr. Clean. But if he is dirty, you don't that (actual, real as opposed to fake) dirt coming out after a confirmation vote and before the election. That would work to the great advantage of Democratic turnout. But this, right now, can only further inflame Republican voters, the very ones whose turnout was in doubt. And if Kavanaugh is sunk in a discreditable way, GOP turnout will be maximized.
Plus, the Democrats in Congress cant control their less responsible allies. No doubt many of them are cringing at Senator Spartacus, Senator "Men should shut up," and the parade of hysterical hearing disrupters. The circus will get worse as this goes on.
So why are the Dems playing it this way? They don't have much choice. They will be punished if they don't throw everything possible at Kavanaugh. Politically, they willcome out best if they go all out and yet he squeaks by. Keeping the seat open probably doesnt gin up their folks more than they already are, but it can only help Republicans. The Dems knowvit, but can't modulate this as finely as they like.
Heck, even if Kavanaugh turns out to be a terrible person, and is derailed, the GOP would still benefit, because the seat remains open as everyone goes to vote.
By the way, when I said the Dems come out best if they fight, fight, fight, fight but barely lose, I meant in the 2018 election. I am not talking about court-determined policy. Yes, they lose there, but they know that postponing this confirmation vote till after the electionis high risk. There is a very strong likelihood the GOP gains in the Senate under almost all scenarios, and that means Trump coukd come back with Amy Barrett or Bill Pryor, who called Roe an abomination. Obviously they have a lot to lose if Kavanaugh proves to be a fifth vote to overturn Roe, but he could be their best case scenario. Plus, how he actually votes on Roe is far from certain.
Padre, a lot of good thinking there, but Roe is gutted, we're told, thanks to Casey v PPA, which gives states a lot more authority to regulate abortion.
As for settled law, so was slavery and segregation.
But, yes, the Demos are killing themselves, much as happened in '68 (hate to be a broken record on that, but this is what they mean by history repeats).
I wish I could agree with Father Fox but the kind of people whose votes are changed by a firestorm just before an election tend to be more impressed by passion than by reason. And as usual the Democrats are full of passionate intensity while Republicans are their usual lukewarm selves.
FF: The Dems lose all the time but you just don't hear about it and when you do it's all about "passion" rather than "lashin'". So their "passion" becomes expected, from them, and Reps loser lashings become the expected meme for them. Framing.
Have you heard anything on the news to date about how maybe the Dems are overstepping with this Kavanagh smear campaign. That it will cost them in turnout? Or how the Dems are ruthlessly exploiting these frail ladies? Or how this whole Handmaid's Tale adventure in hyper-partisan politics will redound negatively for people, men and women, who have legitimate claims?
No.
It's all about framing.
Amartel:
I think the Democratic voters are highly motivated unless they perceive their politicians to betray them. So far, the Dems in Congress are credibly fighting, and in the case of Kavanaugh, there is not much more they can ask their Senators to do. Maybe if Kavanaugh is both vindicated and confirmed, that makes a marginal negative impact on Dem turnout, emphasis on maybe. I doubt it.
On the other hand, the Republican turnout has been weaker, for good reasons. Some are mad at the GOP Congress, and with Trump in White House a lot of voters the GOP needs aren't afraid the way they were in 2016. Fear (2016) is a better motivater than fury, but fury will do. And the Supreme Court seat staying open creates at least some fear.
Not so sure that workaday Dems are as down with this fight as the media and other Dem political hacks would like to believe. I live and work in a dark blue area of a blue state (Cali) in a blue job (law). No one is talking about this with any enthusiasm.
It's nice to see Father Fox here. Thanks for commenting.
I will refrain from asking you about your feelings about he recent controversy with the Pope ignoring and covering up the scandals in the Church. It is hard working men of God such as yourself who suffer when the hierarchy goes off the rails.
I read your sermons every week. They are both enlightening and humbling.
Trooper -
Thanks for your kind words. I answered your unasked question in the newer, pertinent thread,
I guess from the Dem's perspective, Emmett Till got what he deserved, since you gotta believe the woman.
I used to be a real news junkie. Now I just follow the very broad outlines.
This post is already stale. I put up before the second and third base hits.
Did he get to third?
Chick, you can be the Kavanaugh correspondent.
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