Sunday, August 21, 2016

"Why can’t we see that we’re living in a golden age?"

Or, the column bagoh20 has been waiting a long time to read, but nobody writes because nothing sells more or create more clicks than bad news.
If you think that there has never been a better time to be alive — that humanity has never been safer, healthier, more prosperous or less unequal — then you’re in the minority. But that is what the evidence incontrovertibly shows. Poverty, malnutrition, illiteracy, child labour and infant mortality are falling faster than at any other time in human history. The risk of being caught up in a war, subjected to a dictatorship or of dying in a natural disaster is smaller than ever. The golden age is now.
We’re hardwired not to believe this. We’ve evolved to be suspicious and fretful: fear and worry are tools for survival. The hunters and gatherers who survived sudden storms and predators were the ones who had a tendency to scan the horizon for new threats, rather than sit back and enjoy the view. They passed their stress genes on to us. That is why we find stories about things going wrong far more interesting than stories about things going right. It’s why bad news sells, and newspapers are full of it.
Books that say the world is doomed sell rather well, too. I have just attempted the opposite. I’ve written a book called Progress, about humanity’s triumphs. It is written partly as a warning: when we don’t see the progress we have made, we begin to search for scapegoats for the problems that remain. Sometimes, in the past and perhaps today, we have been too quick to try our luck with demagogues who offer simple solutions to make our nations great again — whether by nationalising the economy, blocking imports or throwing out immigrants. If we think we don’t have anything to lose in doing so, it’s because our memories are faulty.
Look at 1828, when The Spectator was first published. Most people in Britain then lived in what is now regarded as extreme poverty. Life was nasty (people still threw their waste out of the window), brutish (corpses were still displayed on gibbets) and short (30 years on average). But even then things had been improving. The first iteration of The Spectator, in 1711, was published in a Britain whose people subsisted on average on fewer calories than the average child gets today in sub-Saharan Africa.
Karl Marx thought that capitalism inevitably made the rich richer and the poor poorer. By the time Marx died, however, the average Englishman was three times richer than at the time of his birth 65 years earlier — never before had the population experienced anything like it.
Fast forward to 1981. Then, almost nine in ten Chinese lived in extreme poverty; now just one in ten do. Then, just half of the world’s population had access to safe water. Now, 91 per cent do. On average, that means that 285,000 more people have gained access to safe water every day for the past 25 years. (more)

9 comments:

edutcher said...

I'd say right now it's a gilded age, but I otherwise agree.

As oopsy once reminded us, "We live like kings".

Fast forward to 1981. Then, almost nine in ten Chinese lived in extreme poverty; now just one in ten do.

When the crash of that Potemkin economy comes, and come it will, that may change.

Evi L. Bloggerlady said...

ed is right about this. You do not want to Iive in "interesting times."

Shouting Thomas said...

I do agree that this is a great time to be alive.

I was raised in the Midwest back during the boom days of the 50s and 60s, so that was another blessing.

Adamsunderground said...

On the bright side, sumptuary laws should break Hollywood from its contemporary languor

edutcher said...

Shouting Thomas said...

I do agree that this is a great time to be alive.

I was raised in the Midwest back during the boom days of the 50s and 60s, so that was another blessing.


Shout, being raised anywhere in the good ol' US of A back during the boom days of the 50s and 60s was a blessing.

Chip Ahoy said...

Bah humbug. It's all for naught when your government is corrupted through and through and everybody seems just fine with all that.

See: the Democrat party on it wild excursions.
See the Republican base trying its best through cycles to correct its non-representative elitist principals who at this point represent only themselves.

I look back at my education and think what a colossal waste. The real education happened on my own and advanced exponentially by the internet. By comparison, everything that preceded it is pure bullshit. I did much better on my own.

It's how I can easily justify another $200.00 for the brewery downstairs this time for myself. In all of the college education, and it was terribly expensive in time and in money and in effort, I never learned anything so useful as how to properly make beer. And that's a plain fact. College is bogus. All of it is. All that knowledge is available by other means, and nearly for free by contrast.

And I don't even like beer.

ndspinelli said...

I have kids and grandkids. I worry about their future.

Leland said...

I can accept that today we are living in a golden era. There were periods like this before.

edutcher said...

I would point to the Golden Age of Greece or the Pax Romanum, but your concern is well-taken.