Showing posts with label deference cascade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deference cascade. Show all posts

Thursday, April 14, 2016

The Coming Deference Cascade

The deference cascade is what I'm calling the future point in time when the entrenched powers of both parties collude to advance their candidates in the face of the Trump/Cruz and Sanders insurgencies. I am not sold on the RNC backing Cruz for any other reason than to undermine Trump; he will be thrown under the bus at the convention, during which they will foist a "JEBish" or a "Romnaic" figure upon us. Meanwhile, the Sanders insurgency doesn't seem to be slowing.

The deference cascade has already begun, but the electorate still hopes that they will voice their own "preference cascade." They will be disappointed.

I think it unlikely that both parties will cave to their insurgents: There is simply too much at stake for the established parties to cave. Their delegates can and will pull out all stops to install their choices to oppose any preference cascade. The established media will continue colluding with one or the other delegated candidates; insurgency media will back Trump, Cruz, or Sanders according to their preference.
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Added: Expect a couple of these moments at this year's conventions: