How do you calculate the odds? or It was bound to happen

What seemed to innocently start out as a good luck wish ...

@SpiderAnderson Break a leg tomorrow! Hopefully not yours!
— Tim Reuben (@TimReuben) December 28, 2013

Turns excruciatingly braking true for the wish.e. (do not click the links if you squeamish easily)

Silva, after being decked by a first-round right hand by champion Chris Weidman, tried a second-round left kick that Weidman (11-0) blocked with his own left shin.

The impact of the contact broke Silva's lower left leg, bending it as he crashed to the mat and screamed in agony while Weidman was declared the repeat winner 1:16 into the round at MGM Grand.

What's puzzling to me is the neck breaking? speed of RT @TimReuben (the well wisher) is getting. At one point I tracked at over 100 a minute.

What is it?... A virtual rubber necking?... A desire to believe?